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The Deadpool movie is exceptionally interesting from so many angles. It's a lesser-known comic character with a small rabid base of core comic fans.
Finally, the lead actor, Ryan Reynolds, has engaged in an asymmetrical promotional campaign. All of this makes predicting what "Deadpool" will do at the box office highly difficult.
It also means that the whole industry is going to be paying close attention to what happens. For those who are unfamiliar with Deadpool, he's a comic character that is irreverent, talks directly to the audience and deals in stylized violence.
The Merc with a Mouth is best when he's got an adult audience. You could clean him up, but then you'd lose what makes the character so cool and unique.
Superhero movies are typically big budget affairs. Fox decided to cut the budget for "Deadpool" specifically to mitigate potential losses, but also to allow the creators more freedom and an R-rating.
The smaller budget does something else positive for "Deadpool" -- it makes it much easier to recover the expense of the film. He falls under the aegis of X-men characters which means this will be a 20th Century Fox film.
Let's look at how well some recent Fox superhero movies have done at the box office. The problem with these comparisons are that "Days of Future Past" is a big budget crossover with all the familiar characters, and "The Wolverine" has a well-known character and an A-list actor in the lead role.
They are also not R-rated films, which typically make less money. The money and interest is clearly there for X-men films and they have wisely included other X-men characters in the trailers to signal that "Deadpool" is in that universe.
The Deadpool movie was not going to happen before some test footage was "leaked" to the public. The groundswell of interest from fans forced another look and led to the greenlight with the reduced budget.
During the process of getting "Deadpool" moved into production, and ever since, Ryan Reynolds has worked his ass off to promote the film.
Besides the voluminous Twitter postings and live appearances in full costume, Ryan Reynolds has used the internet to promote "Deadpool" in ways that no one else has.
He released a photo of him trick-or-treating on Halloween with a group of kids dressed like X-men. And if you haven't seen his PSAs about screening for testicle cancer, you're missing something that is both hilarious and informative.
If "Deadpool" flops, it won't be due to the promotional neglect of its main star. Superhero movies have had a nearly untarnished run for the past decade It's a shot-across-the-bow for anyone in Hollywood who wants to "fix" a comic property before bringing it to the screen.
They excised everything wonderful about the Fantastic Four comic and insulted their potential audience in the process. Everything they did wrong with "The Fantastic Four" they have done right with "Deadpool.
They are indicating to true fans that this is a version of Deadpool that will be authentic. Before we move on, it has to be noted that even "The Fantastic Four" covered its production budget in worldwide grosses.
Superhero movies do well, and X-men movies in general have performed great recently. The budget for "Deadpool" is lean. Ryan Reynolds has done everything possible to bring the character and the movie to the public consciousness.
Most importantly, the creators of "Deadpool" are indicating to the fans that this is going to be a satisfying take on the character. The combination of hardcore Deadpool fans and casual superhero movie fans will give the movie a decent opening weekend in the United States.
That, combined with an even moderate interest internationally will make sure that "Deadpool" covers the production budget. If "Deadpool" gets decent word-of-mouth and it could get amazing buzz then it may surprise everyone like "Guardians of the Galaxy" or "Ant-Man.
Either way, Fox deserves some credit for taking a chance on "Deadpool. This answer was written about a week before the opening of "Deadpool. No "Deadpool" will not flop.
Fox is already planning a sequel to "Deadpool" and an R-rated "X-Force" movie. Dirk Hooper's answer to What is your review of Deadpool movie?
Marvel Comics Movies at the Box Office. It's too good, it's opening weekend ticket sales will be too strong, and it has far too much going for it in terms of audience awareness and branding.
Let's look at all of this in more detail Even if it were an awful movie which it isn't, but more on that in a moment , it would at least end up with a 2.
That's if the film is awful and performs weakly, remember. There are many tricks the studios use to make money before a film even hits theaters -- presales overseas, tie-ins, tax incentives -- that probably already returned at least a few tens of millions back to the studio.
The bar for profitability is low, then. Merchandising will contribute a bit more too. So when it's all said and done, this modest-to-low budgeted for the genre superhero movie will be profitable even if it's a terrible movie that performs weakly.
Deadpool is also getting a huge amount of attention online, where its social media footprint has been huge. It's potentially the first film to go from 0 to 3 million Facebook "likes" within a single calendar year -- no other film has ever done that, according to social media tracking data.
Which suggests a possible windfall of viewership among demographics who overindex on social media, particularly one of the most important modern audiences for cinema: My guess is that Deadpool has at least a 2.
The R-rating will have an impact, obviously, but nobody should overestimate how much of an impact it results in. More to the point, this is , not pre, and the possibilities for success within the superhero genre are expanding as audiences embrace much more diverse storytelling, approaches, subgenres for superhero fare.
So Deadpool will probably perform like a lower-end X-Men film performance, which is fine since it's his first movie, it won't play at all in China, it's a far lower budgeted entry than any of the X-Men movies, he's a less well-known character, and it's his first solo outing.
The studio will make a nice profit, and the character will crossover into the other X-Men films, not to mention the inevitable sequel Deadpool 2: That seems to be the bare minimum it could take at this point, so that's a worst-case scenario.
It's having such a huge day already, there is now some expectation that it might set an opening weekend record for an R-rated film. So the factual, definitive answer to this question is definitely, "Nope!
Anyway, absolutely, positively, NO, Deadpool will not flop by any of the 3 definitions of "flop" that matter with movies - 1 Not making a profit.
And 3 Being widely hated by both the public and established critics. Deadpool will win on each score - albeit by its very nature it will be polarizing and thus attract some intensely negative reactions from some folks.
This movie has so much going for it, that I think the individual factors have multiplied each other instead of merely "adding up. Ryan Reynolds has been working the promotion for this like he's found his higher calling in life.
The core fan base is very vocal and active and their excitement has been fanned to a fever pitch because the whole thing has been fan service in the best possible way.
We've been treated to The. It's reached basically all the rest of the superhero movie fans like me who didn't know about Deadpool before, along with any of the wider audience who watch these movies at all and are also open to R-rated films.
I'm willing to go out on what to me is a rather sturdy limb and say Deadpool's worldwide gross earnings will reach about 4 times its budget, i.
I could totally be overestimating, that's just my bet, see the abovementioned guys for facts and figures and reasoning - but it ain't gonna be no flop.
My million dollar earnings prediction is going to be a total under statement! Can I do a victory lap now or something?
I'll end by sharing some highlights from the Deadpool Marketing Rampage that I can remember seeing below. Cancer Awareness Video For Men appropriate for a cancer survivor like him right?
Deadpool hails Betty White: Deadpool Movie on Twitter. Betty White reviews Deadpool!!!!!!! Betty White on Twitter. The eye-popping visuals, and ear-tastic sound mix punctuated by sarcasm and fourth wall breaking.
It's a film that takes well tread elements and polishes them up with a heaping pile of ball jokes and clever curse words.
Honestly, my nine-year-old self is just as giddy about the whole thing as adult me. If I had one question about the film's intentions, I wonder if the filmmakers could have found a way to avoid the damsel-in-distress elements.
I think the structure and payoffs surrounding this structural choice work and fuel Wade's journey as Deadpool , but the film goes out of its way to subvert and reinvent so many expectations, and there are so few women in this story, I wonder if they could have gone a little further with a character that is so vividly written in the film's early scenes.
Ah well, here's hoping for a little more room for such choices in the sequel and hoping she doesn't end up Super-ized as well. Either way, 'Deadpool' is a lot of R-rated fun seriously, no kids, unless you want to be THOSE parents that pulled off a tricky balance of potentially-disparate tonal elements to become the most fun I've had at a super hero movie since 'Guardians'.
No kidding, Fox has outdone themselves here. Though the original camera elements were filmed at 3K, theatrical and home video releases were finished in 4K.
I mention this post-process because I just came from a filmmaker panel where the director and colorist described this UHD BD as the best way to experience the movie and one where, after so many previous iterations, they found more detail than ever before.
It's less so when you have a great HDTV and there is some time between viewings, but doing side-by-side comparisons of the Blu-ray to the Ultra HD Blu-ray, which is just did, would floor anyone.
Deeper blacks and shadow details. Deadpool's costume, both the red color and fabric textures, leap off the screen.
White, semi-blown out skies reveal clouds, while spectral highlights show off more detail look at the pavement as Deadpool fights on the bridge.
And the explosions themselves have been regraded to a more appealing orange tone while revealing more texture to the computer graphics.
This, for the most part, works pretty well. But there are two potential trade offs. If your player maps poorly, it could washout the entire image.
To be clear, this paragraph isn't to knock this Ultra HD Blu-ray whatsoever; it's just that to get the best out of this video presentation you need HDR That said, the Ultra HD Blu-ray does have more perceived resolution when doing A-to-B comparisons with the Blu-ray, but the Blu-ray has been more properly graded for Rec.
I do NOT grade 7. The numerical grading listed above is in relation to how this mix performs in relation to similar configurations and genre exercises.
Though not a full 5-star stunner of a track, it's good enough to make this Ultra HD Blu-ray worth considering over the Blu-ray for the audio alone.
Spend ten minutes alone with the 'Deadpool' Dolby Atmos mix and a smile's gonna light up your face.
It has all the sound effects from the 7. After a hilarious opening title sequence, the first major set-piece includes somersaulting SUVs, a ballet of bullets, and a cutaway to helicopter rotors winding up to speed.
All of these elements are nuanced, filling your listening space fully. There's also a terrific explosion about halfway through the film that wraps over your head.
And the film's climax is an aggressive action sequence with hulking metal containers whipping through the air. I admire several things about this track that aren't related to the object and overhead panning though they are the key to differentiating it from the 7.
First, the sound effects are simply wonderful; there's a depth to what bending metal and roaring fire sounds like, making every thing crisp.
Finally, this mix is really smart in the way it cuts from loud to quiet moments for dramatic or comedic effect.
Overall, 'Deadpool' in Dolby Atmos is the best way to experience this film mix, though it's not quite the revelation of something like a 'Mad Max Fury Road' or 'Gravity'.
When the movie's wunderbar, the video looks perty, and the audio envelops, the final pieces to any home entertainment puzzle are the special features.